{"id":23241,"date":"2026-06-04T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-04T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/?p=23241"},"modified":"2026-05-30T16:40:29","modified_gmt":"2026-05-30T22:40:29","slug":"crunching-data-and-rethinking-plans","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/crunching-data-and-rethinking-plans\/","title":{"rendered":"Crunching data and rethinking plans"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

So for the last week, I’ve been having some long reflections with ChatGPT (I say “reflection” instead of “discussion,” because generative AI is more like a sophisticated mirror than a mind) and crunching a bunch of the data that I’ve accumulated over the course of my career. It’s fascinating, because one of the things that generative AI is surprisingly good at is crunching large amounts of data and extracting interesting patterns from it. It’s less good at drawing useful conclusions, but that’s what God gave us humans a mind for.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

One of the more interesting data points is that the ideal frequency with which to release new full-length novels is once every 3-6 months, ideally every 3-4 months. After 6 months without a novel release, sales tend to fall off, and after 9 months, they fall completely off of a cliff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

From this, I’ve decided to rework my release schedule, so that every January, May, and September, I have a new novel coming out. The goal is to have the next novel ready and up for preorder before the current one goes live. Between new novel releases, I plan to rerelease short stories, bundle and release box sets, or release new original short stories and novellas, with something coming out each month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It’s an aggressive release schedule, but with the way I’ve incorporated AI into my writing process, I think I can manage it. It took me about 120 total writing man-hours to write Captive of the Falconstar,<\/em> and with practice I can probably get that down lower. During the school year, while my wife is teaching or researching and I’m generally the one watching the kids, I can only get about an hour of work in each day, but I can do more like 2-3 hours in the summer, so that’s when I plan to catch up. That comes to about 400 man-hours of writing time in a given year, which is more than enough to write three 120 man-hour novels.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

I’m going to try to give myself a bit of a buffer, though. After Captive of the Falconstar<\/em> comes out in July, I plan to wait 6 months and publish The Unknown Sea<\/em> in January 2027. The next release will be Lord of the Falconstar<\/em> in May 2027, concluding the Falconstar Trilogy. After that, I plan to launch the Rise of the Falconstar Trilogy in September 2027 with The Soulbond and the Sling,<\/em> following up with books 2 and 3 in January and May 2028.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

My big summer project this year is The Unknown Sea,<\/em> which I will probably finish sometime next month. After that, I’ll work on Lord of the Falconstar<\/em> with a goal of finishing it well before the end of the year. Should be very doable. And since the AI draft of The Soulbond and the Sling<\/em> is already complete, it shouldn’t take more than a few months to finish it. So by the time January 2027 rolls around, I may be more than halfway done with my September release for that year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That’s the plan, anyway. I may want to experiment with crowdfunding some of these novels, especially The Soulbond and the Sling<\/em>\u2014which is another good reason to push it back to September 2027. But we’ll see how it goes.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

So for the last week, I’ve been having some long reflections with ChatGPT (I say “reflection” instead of “discussion,” because generative AI is more like a sophisticated mirror than a mind) and crunching a bunch of the data that I’ve accumulated over the course of my career. It’s fascinating, because one of the things that… Continue reading Crunching data and rethinking plans<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[1567,1542,1626,1806,1846,1838,1831,1830,1829],"tags":[89,46,756,925,999],"class_list":["post-23241","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-captive-of-the-falconstar","category-falconstar-trilogy","category-lord-of-the-falconstar","category-sea-mage-cycle","category-the-rise-of-the-soulbound-king-trilogy","category-the-soulbond-and-the-lady","category-the-soulbond-and-the-sling","category-the-soulbound-king","category-the-unknown-sea","tag-career-decisions","tag-goals-and-plans","tag-new-releases","tag-news-and-updates","tag-re-releases","entry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7iXK-62R","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23241","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23241"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23241\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":23312,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23241\/revisions\/23312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23241"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23241"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23241"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}