{"id":17914,"date":"2024-03-13T10:00:00","date_gmt":"2024-03-13T16:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/?p=17914"},"modified":"2024-03-07T14:12:42","modified_gmt":"2024-03-07T21:12:42","slug":"2024-predictions-for-the-publishing-industry","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/2024-predictions-for-the-publishing-industry\/","title":{"rendered":"2024 Predictions for the Publishing Industry"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>I started working on this post over the Christmas break, but then things got so busy that I never got around to writing anything more than the section headings. The year is still young, though, so I figured it was worth posting it anyway, even if only as a list of bullet points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>The courts will side against authors and publishers, in favor of OpenAI and generative artificial intelligence.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Amazon will use self-published content to create an LLM or other generative artificial intelligence.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>We will not see an AI-assisted novel break out and become a bestseller this year\u2026<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u2026but we will see generative AI used to power a new book recommendation engine that will outperform everything currently out there.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Censorship and book banning will accelerate and become more flagrant.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The gap between bestsellers and midlisters will grow.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Book sales overall will decline, unless a new pandemic is declared.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A surprising number of authors will find success with their online stores, though we probably won&#8217;t hear about that.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>The long, slow decline of Amazon&#8217;s prominence in the book industry will become a talking point.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>By the end of the year, AI-assisted stories will garner public interest as more than just a novelty.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>I started working on this post over the Christmas break, but then things got so busy that I never got around to writing anything more than the section headings. The year is still young, though, so I figured it was worth posting it anyway, even if only as a list of bullet points.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[1],"tags":[1137,453],"class_list":["post-17914","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-predictions","tag-publishing-trends","entry"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7iXK-4EW","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_likes_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17914","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=17914"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17914\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18421,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/17914\/revisions\/18421"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=17914"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=17914"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.onelowerlight.com\/writing\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=17914"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}